The 1. FC Köln Files
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Predictions

1. FC Köln

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Akte Effzeh — Club-Dossier 1. FC Köln
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
Where does Koeln stand in the table?
Koeln are 10th with 7 points after 5 matchdays. Goal difference: -2.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Koeln's probability come from — and what moves it?

Koeln vs Gladbach · Sun, 10/11, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home76%
Draw24%
Away0%

Koeln: 76%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • ⚪ Koeln home 0.0pp
Home75.6%
Draw23.9%
Away0.5%

Koeln: 75.6% (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home48.2%
Draw23.7%
Away28.1%

Koeln: 48.2%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: +27.4pp — Pipeline model sees Koeln stronger than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Oracle data unavailable. Next update cycle shortly.

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for 1. FC Köln. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 5

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Freiburg 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 BVB 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Bayern 5 3 2 0 +12 11
4 Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 +6 10
5 Leipzig 5 3 0 2 +10 9
6 Augsburg 5 2 2 1 +5 8
7 Werder 5 2 2 1 0 8
8 Mainz 5 2 1 2 +3 7
9 Elversberg 5 2 1 2 0 7
10 Koeln 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 -1 6
12 HSV 5 2 0 3 -10 6
13 Schalke 04 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Eintracht 5 1 2 2 -7 5
15 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Union 5 1 1 3 -12 4
17 Hoffenheim 5 1 0 4 -4 3
18 Gladbach 5 0 0 5 -11 0